Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.004147 0.004360 0.004578 0.004819 0.005078 0.005347 0.005650
2025-01-19 0.003646 0.003950 0.004275 0.004649 0.005070 0.005530 0.006074
2025-01-26 0.003434 0.003797 0.004197 0.004671 0.005222 0.005846 0.006613
2025-02-02 0.003340 0.003757 0.004227 0.004799 0.005484 0.006283 0.007299
2025-02-09 0.003162 0.003604 0.004110 0.004740 0.005511 0.006433 0.007639
2025-02-16 0.003037 0.003502 0.004044 0.004731 0.005589 0.006640 0.008051
2025-02-23 0.002917 0.003398 0.003968 0.004701 0.005634 0.006801 0.008405
2025-03-02 0.002850 0.003354 0.003959 0.004751 0.005777 0.007089 0.008938
2025-03-09 0.002749 0.003262 0.003886 0.004713 0.005803 0.007221 0.009263
2025-03-16 0.002655 0.003174 0.003813 0.004670 0.005816 0.007334 0.009564
2025-03-23 0.002552 0.003072 0.003717 0.004592 0.005777 0.007370 0.009755
2025-03-30 0.002463 0.002983 0.003634 0.004527 0.005752 0.007422 0.009966
2025-04-06 0.002408 0.002938 0.003608 0.004539 0.005835 0.007633 0.010432
2025-04-13 0.002288 0.002804 0.003462 0.004383 0.005677 0.007494 0.010363
2025-04-20 0.002245 0.002770 0.003446 0.004403 0.005767 0.007715 0.010857
2025-04-27 0.002242 0.002789 0.003500 0.004522 0.006002 0.008158 0.011727
2025-05-04 0.002176 0.002720 0.003433 0.004467 0.005981 0.008217 0.011983
2025-05-11 0.002130 0.002677 0.003400 0.004459 0.006028 0.008378 0.012415
2025-05-18 0.002079 0.002627 0.003355 0.004431 0.006043 0.008490 0.012769
2025-05-25 0.002057 0.002614 0.003362 0.004477 0.006171 0.008785 0.013457
2025-06-01 0.002009 0.002564 0.003314 0.004442 0.006173 0.008877 0.013792
2025-06-08 0.001961 0.002514 0.003265 0.004403 0.006164 0.008952 0.014100
2025-06-15 0.001905 0.002450 0.003195 0.004330 0.006102 0.008933 0.014234